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“Since the 2020 census, Florida has moved from a Democrat majority to a 1.5 million Republican advantage.”

Verdict

🟢Mostly True

Confidence

Moderate Evidence Confidence

Solid evidence with some gaps or secondary sources.

Ron DeSantis· 9/27/2026

What We Found

Governor Ron DeSantis accurately stated that Florida currently holds a 1.5 million voter registration advantage for Republicans. However, his claim that the state moved from a 'Democrat majority' is inaccurate, as Democrats held a plurality, not a majority, of registered voters in 2020.

Evidence

The claim made by Governor Ron DeSantis consists of two parts: the current status of voter registration in Florida and the historical status of voter registration in 2020. According to official data from the Florida Division of Elections, the current Republican registration advantage is approximately 1.5 million, which supports the second half of his statement. However, the characterization of the 2020 landscape as a 'Democrat majority' is technically incorrect. In 2020, Democrats held a registration plurality—meaning they had more registered voters than any other single party—but they did not hold a majority (more than 50% of all registered voters), as a significant portion of the electorate was registered as 'No Party Affiliation' or with minor parties. Therefore, while the shift in the partisan gap is substantial and correctly quantified in the current context, the description of the starting point as a 'majority' is a misstatement of election data.

What's Missing or Misleading

The claim omits that Democrats never held a majority of total registered voters in 2020, but rather a plurality. Additionally, voter registration does not always correlate directly with election outcomes, as Republicans had been winning statewide elections in Florida for years prior to the shift in registration numbers.

Sources Reviewed (3)

WLRN

Florida redistricting: DeSantis overstates voters' shift from Democrats to Republicans

Published 2026-05-01Accessed 2026-08-12View
PolitiFact

Florida redistricting: DeSantis overstates voters’ shift from Democrats to Republicans

Published 2026-05-12Accessed 2026-08-12View
Florida Department of StatePrimary

Voter Registration - By County and Party

Published 2026-08-11Accessed 2026-08-12View

Primary Sources

Florida Department of StatePrimary

Voter Registration Statistics

Accessed 2026-08-12View
Florida Department of StatePrimary

Voter Registration - By Party Affiliation

Accessed 2026-08-12View
AI-Generated Analysis

This fact-check was generated by automated AI research. It has not been examined by a human reviewer.

Fact-Check History

First checked: 9/27/2026
Last updated: 9/27/2026
Last verified: 9/27/2026